Monday, September 14, 2015

Repeat Home Sales Prices in Calgary Surge in August - 3.9% Growth Highest in Canada




 
Calgary saw Canada’s largest month-over-month increase in repeat home sale prices in August.
That’s according to the Teranet-National Bank National Composite House Price Index. Prices were up 3.9 per cent from July, and up 0.7 per cent from a year ago.
However, Calgary prices remain 0.9 per cent off their peak, set in October 2014.
Nationally, the index, for 11 major centres, was up one per cent from the previous month, an eighth consecutive monthly increase.
The index is estimated by tracking ob­served or registered home prices over time using data collected from public land registries. All dwellings that have been sold at least twice are considered in the calculation of the index.
Marc Pinsonneault, senior economist with the National Bank of Canada, said national rise exceeded the 11-year August average of 0.9 per cent.
The report said prices were up on the month in six of the 11 metropolitan markets surveyed. Besides Calgary, there were increases of  2.4 per cent in Hamilton, 1.6 per cent in Toronto, 0.6 per cent in Vancouver, Ottawa-Gatineau and Winnipeg. Prices were down on the month in Victoria (-0.3 per cent), Halifax ( 0.4 per cent), Edmonton and Montreal (−0.5 per cent) and Quebec City (−1.1 per cent).
“The composite index was at an all-time high in August for a sixth consecutive month, though only the Vancouver, Hamilton and Toronto component indexes were at an historical high in August. The resale market in those three centres is a seller’s market according to the Canadian Real Estate Association criterion of sales relative to new listings,” said Pinsonneault.
He said that in August the composite index was up 5.4 per cent from a year earlier, the highest 12-month increase since November 2014. The 12-month gain was well above the countrywide average in Vancouver (9.7 per cent), Hamilton (8.8 per cent) and Toronto (8.7 per cent). It was below the average in Victoria (3.2 per cent), Edmonton (0.8 per cent) and Calgary. Prices were down from a year earlier in Winnipeg and Ottawa-Gatineau (-0.4 per cent), Montreal (-0,5 per cent), Quebec City (-0.7 per cent) and Halifax ( 1.4 per cent), added the report.
According to the Calgary Real Estate Board, month-to-date up to and including Sunday, MLS transactions in the city of 581 are down 36 per cent from the same period a year ago while new listings of 1,433 have fallen by 9.9 per cent. The average MLS sale price of $461,032 is off by 4.8 per cent year-over-year but the median price of $426,000 is up by 0.25 per cent.
Ann-Marie Lurie, CREB’s chief economist, said the local real estate board’s price measure is slightly different than the Teranet figures. Based on the citywide benchmark price of $456,300, prices remain similar to levels reported last year and have declined by one per cent since December 2014, she said.
“The slight moderation in prices so far is partly related to the supply in the market. Moving into this cycle there was limited supply in the rental, new home and resale market,” said Lurie. “So while housing demand has eased and supply levels have risen, overall market conditions remain relatively balanced limiting some of the downward pressure on price. However, price changes can be more pronounced depending on the price range, property type and location.
“Nonetheless, further job losses are forecasted and the energy sector slowdown is now expected to extend into next year. This will continue to impact the demand/supply balance in the city, and we may start to see further downward pressure on aggregate pricing.”
mtoneguzzi@calgaryherald.com

Tuesday, September 1, 2015

Luxury Home Sales in Calgary Fall Sharply but Prices Hold Steady

 
Sales in Calgary’s luxury home market may have fallen sharply from last year but properties have tended to hold their prices, says a new report released by RE/MAX.
The luxury market report said sales of properties over $1 million in the Calgary region have dropped by 28 per cent year-over-year from 2014 levels as the city grapples with the impact of falling oil prices.
Elton Ash, regional executive vice-president for RE/MAX of Western Canada, said the uncertainty in the oilpatch is impacting the luxury home market in the city.
“The question I’ve really got is if it’s only at 25 per cent roughly the volume decrease why aren’t prices moving more downward?,” he said.
“What we’re seeing in Calgary is that luxury buyers are not witnessing a notable decrease in prices, but there is less pressure and stress for buyers during the negotiation process. We’re seeing that normal conditions like home inspection and financing, which were rarer when buyers were frequently in competing offer situations, have become part of the normal negotiation process again. Buyers don’t have to make up their minds on the spot.”
Ash said Calgary now has a more diversified economy than it had in the 1980s “when the last hellish incident occurred.” That is somewhat sheltering the blow to the housing market from the oilpatch downturn.
“So I think overall the diversification has certainly muted the initial response to the oil price woes at this point,” he said.
The RE/MAX report said $1-million plus MLS transactions dropped to 517 year-to-date from January 1-July 31 — down from 715 for the same period a year ago. Sales of $2-million plus are down to 48 units from 77 last year and in the $3-million plus price point sales have fallen from 17 in 2014 to 14 this year.
It said a “healthy” 2.3 to 2.5 months’ supply of inventory in the $1 million plus range has brought a more balanced market to Calgary.
Rick Campos, a realtor with RE/MAX First in Calgary, said the housing market in general is seeing less activity these days.
“The market being soft has actually provided buyers the opportunity to move up who maybe couldn’t get into the (luxury) market last year or the year before,” he said. “There’s a different buyer out there today than there was a year ago or two years ago. So we have move-up buyers now where I think for a couple of years we were dealing with what I call power couples — young professionals who some of them were buying their first home. Now our luxury market isn’t going basically to first-time buyers, it’s going to move-up buyers.
“Our prices haven’t really suffered overall at this point.”
The RE/MAX report said a trend in Calgary’s luxury market is for buyers to purchase properties near the city’s core and then hire a builder to tear them down and construct a new home.
“Another thing in our luxury market that’s holding its own is lake properties. Like inner-city, there’s a limited supply … of lake community properties. So whether you’re talking Lake Bonavista or Midnapore those properties are still holding their value very well. If you were to drive around all the lakes in Calgary, you wouldn’t find too many properties for sale at this time.”
mtoneguzzi@calgaryherald.com